This period in time as far as digital communication is concerned is the most volatile that it has ever been. The sales of wireless phones, tablets or pads, are up, while PC sales are down. Growth of wireless is not just fast, it is exponential. And the problem is simply that the wireless services are stressed to the limit and there is little that they can do. The wireless services need increased bandwidth and the only way to do that is through the FCC. (Federal Communication Commission). Good luck with that!
So where will this shake out in the future? With the increased marketing of the wireless services, cheaper smart phones, and a culture that demands keeping up with the latest technology, the trend for rapid growth will continue. But, the wireless providers will eventually reach capacity and service will have to suffer.
Meanwhile, Google, Amazon, and Apple are pushing "cloud computing" where all of our music, photos, and documents will be stored in a remote server and it may be a competitor to wireless. It can eliminate the need for gigabytes of hard disk storage in a device, but it raises some real questions. What about security, cost, and the availability of open source material? For example, instead of your current word processing program, the cloud would have a program that does not have to be downloaded and installed on the device to be used. It is too early to see a clear trend with the cloud, but it bears watching.
Most analysts paint a rosy picture for the PC and I guess that I am in this boat alone. I think that PC sales will continue to decline with a real bottom next year. Of course, existing PC's will be around and supported for a long time but sales will decline. It is like VHS tape recorders when TIVO and DVR's existed together.
The bottom line is this: I would urge all reader's to follow this closely and check with reputable sites like CNET and others. It is too important to rely on a blogger for information that may be critical! Just another thought...
So where will this shake out in the future? With the increased marketing of the wireless services, cheaper smart phones, and a culture that demands keeping up with the latest technology, the trend for rapid growth will continue. But, the wireless providers will eventually reach capacity and service will have to suffer.
Meanwhile, Google, Amazon, and Apple are pushing "cloud computing" where all of our music, photos, and documents will be stored in a remote server and it may be a competitor to wireless. It can eliminate the need for gigabytes of hard disk storage in a device, but it raises some real questions. What about security, cost, and the availability of open source material? For example, instead of your current word processing program, the cloud would have a program that does not have to be downloaded and installed on the device to be used. It is too early to see a clear trend with the cloud, but it bears watching.
Most analysts paint a rosy picture for the PC and I guess that I am in this boat alone. I think that PC sales will continue to decline with a real bottom next year. Of course, existing PC's will be around and supported for a long time but sales will decline. It is like VHS tape recorders when TIVO and DVR's existed together.
The bottom line is this: I would urge all reader's to follow this closely and check with reputable sites like CNET and others. It is too important to rely on a blogger for information that may be critical! Just another thought...
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